Do Patients With Different Mandibular Plane Angles Have Different Time to Relapse After Bilateral Sagittal Osteotomy With Mandibular Advancement?

PURPOSE: This study sought to answer the following question: Do patients with different mandibular plane angles (MPAs) have a different time to relapse after mandibular advancement with bilateral sagittal split osteotomy? MATERIALS AND METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients who underwent bilateral sagittal split osteotomy advancement at Massachusetts General Hospital between 2005 and 2017. The primary predictor variable was MPA, categorized as low (<25 degrees ), medium (between 25 degrees and 35 degrees ), or high (>35 degrees ). The outcome variable was time to relapse (>/=2-mm posterior change at the B point). Other covariates included gender, age, temporomandibular joint symptoms, bimaxillary surgery, direction of mandibular rotation, magnitude of advancement, genioplasty, and fixation method. Time to relapse was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox and parametric regressions for interval-censored data were performed. P < .05 was considered statistically significant. RESULTS: The sample was composed of 58 patients (40 female patients), with a mean age of 26.1 +/- 4.9 years, grouped as follows: low MPA, n = 15; medium MPA, n = 26; and high MPA, n = 17. Clinically significant relapse was found in 18 patients (31%). Age, temporomandibular joint symptoms, counterclockwise rotation, and magnitude of advancement were statistically significantly different among the 3 groups. When we assessed time to relapse, the Kaplan-Meier method showed that high-MPA patients had a longer mean time at risk and higher estimated probabilities of relapse at different time points compared with low- and medium-MPA patients (P < .05). However, this association was not significant in Cox and parametric regressions. CONCLUSIONS: Our results suggest that clinically significant relapse was found during the first postoperative year in low-MPA patients and from 2 to 5 years postoperatively in high-MPA patients. Multivariate regression analyses did not show a significant association between MPA and time to relapse, suggesting that other covariates may play a role in the observed time to relapse.