Malignant transformation in oral lichen planus and lichenoid lesions: a 14-year longitudinal retrospective cohort study of 829 patients in New Zealand.

OBJECTIVE: The aim of this study was to identify the rate of malignant transformation in a longitudinal cohort of patients with oral lichen planus and oral lichenoid lesion (OLP/OLL) and to assess the associations between clinicopathologic aspects and malignant transformation. STUDY DESIGN: Data were taken from the records of 829 patients histologically diagnosed with OLP/OLL in the years 2005 to 2018. RESULTS: Of the study patients, 548 (66.1%) were females and 281 (33.9%) were males. The average age at diagnosis was 57.3 years. The hyperplastic type was the most frequent (58.5%). Most patients had multiple sites of involvement, with the buccal mucosa being the most frequent site of biopsy. Oral epithelial dysplasia developed in 5 (0.6%) patients with a previous histologic diagnosis of OLP/OLL and developed oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) in 23 patients (2.8%) during the follow-up period. The atrophic/ulcerative forms are 25.8 times more likely to progress to OSCC compared with the hyperplastic types (hazard ratio [HR] 25.8; P < .05). The HR increases by 5% with every year of age (HR 1.05; 95% confidence interval; P < .05). CONCLUSIONS: In our study, oral epithelial dysplasia developed in less than 1% of patients with OLP/OLL, and OSCC in 2.8%during the follow-up period. The atrophic/ulcerative forms are 25.8 times more likely to progress to OSCC compared with the hyperplastic types. The HR increases by 5% with every year of age.