OBJECTIVES: This study aimed to assess the risk of less than 2 mm keratinized mucosa (KM) width occurrence after free epithelialized graft (FEG) and keratinized mucosa shifting (KMS) procedures using survival analysis. In addition, KM dimensional changes were evaluated. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This study included 76 implants in 36 patients with insufficient KM (<2 mm). The implants underwent either FEG or KMS procedures. The mid-buccal KM width was measured from surgery to the end of a one 13-year follow-up period. RESULTS: Mean follow-up durations were 9.2 +/- 3.9 years for FEG and 6.3 +/- 4.2 years for KMS. Two implants in FEG and nine implants in KMS exhibited a KM width of less than 2 mm during follow-up. The hazard ratios for KMS compared to FEG were 6.48 (crude) and 6.54 (adjusted), both statistically significant (p < .05). The incidence rate of KMS (4.06%) was higher than that of FEG (0.63%), with an average incidence time of 3.38 years for KMS and 8.82 years for FEG post-surgery. FEG showed a significant shrinkage within 6 months (33% +/- 22%), whereas KMS demonstrated a gradual decrease over 13 years (34% +/- 25%). FEG exhibited significantly greater width change than KMS during a 5-year follow-up (p < .05). CONCLUSIONS: FEG and KMS enhanced PIKM but exhibited different long-term reduction patterns. FEG demonstrated rapid shrinkage, while KMS displayed gradual and continuous reduction. Moreover, KMS presented a higher risk and incidence of KM width less than 2 mm compared to FEG.
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