Class III malocclusion for individuals with cleft lip and palate has historically been managed with surgery. Orthodontic protraction is a noninvasive alternative that may be associated with lower costs. This analysis investigated the budget impact of protraction versus surgery from an institutional perspective. Using a decision tree, analysis was conducted using costs derived from Medicaid reimbursement codes and using actual institutional reimbursement. Probabilities of success, failure, and complications were based on a clinical trial comparing the 2 treatment modalities. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analyses tested the robustness of results to model parameters. Based on Medicaid fee schedules and failure rates requiring additional surgery, the total cost of protraction was $79,506 versus $172,807 for surgery, resulting in $93,302 cost-savings per patient. The cost and probability of surgery success, as well as the cost of surgery failure and repeat surgery, had the largest impact on these cost-savings. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis showed cost-savings of nearly $92,000 or higher in >50% of simulations. This study showed that protraction is associated with lower costs than surgery and may present a cost-effective alternative to surgery in eligible, appropriate patients.
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